Dickeson--Throw Away the Crystal Ball

Want to know a sickening truth? As prognosticators, we're lousy. We're all plain stupid when it comes to making good guesses about what's going to happen. So why do we waste so much time with crystal balls? You tell me.

Am I saying we're all a bunch of crummy managers? No. Not at all. The reason we're not is that we proceed to make our daily—our hourly—decisions by ignoring the assumptions based on those flimsy forecasts most of the time. So why do we spend time and energy consulting a truth fairy to foretell what's going to transpire? You tell me.