McIlroy--Are We in Worse Shape Than Anyone Thinks?

Chris Gulker has said, "If some new development sounds like it's 10 years away, it's probably a year away."

On his Website, Gulker refers to a 1993 paper by Vernor Vinge, a professor in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at San Diego State University. Called "The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era," (http://www.gulker.com/ra/ singularity.html), the paper is concerned mainly with the thesis that "within 30 years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence."