PRC Financial Analysis for FY19 Shows USPS Financial Losses Are Largest in a Decade

The Postal Regulatory Commission released its Financial Analysis report of the Postal Service’s 2019 financial results. The report was developed using information from the Postal Service’s Fiscal Year (FY) 2019 10-K Statement and measured against its FY 2018 and FY 2019 Integrated Financial Plan, Cost and Revenue Analysis report, Cost Segments and Components report, and the Revenue, Pieces, and Weight report.

Each year, the Commission releases its financial analysis of the Postal Service’s finances for the prior Fiscal Year. The FY 2019 analysis does not include the impact of COVID-19 on the Postal Service. However, unaudited current volumes and preliminary financial forecasts provided by the Postal Service point to precipitous declines in mail volume and revenue, which would exacerbate the large financial losses it experienced in FY 2019. The Commission continues to communicate with the Postal Service and policymakers regarding the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the rapidly evolving financial situation of the Postal Service.

The financial position of the Postal Service is dire. In FY 2019, the Postal Service had a net loss from operations of $3.2 billion. Between FY 2018 and FY 2019, net losses from operations increased by 53%. The net loss from operations is by far the largest of the decade for the Postal Service, and represents a $1.1 billion decline in profitability. As a labor-intensive organization with a vast, physical delivery network, increases in compensation and benefits, as well as increases in transportation costs, were the primary drivers of a $1.6 billion increase in net operating expenses in FY 2019. When non-operating expenses are included, the total net loss was $8.8 billion. This represents a further decline of $4.9 billion when compared with FY 2018. This is largely due to an increase in the non-cash adjustment to the workers’ compensation expense, resulting from a lower discount rate.

Although the Postal Service’s liquidity has improved in recent years, this is primarily the result of the Postal Service’s failure to make payments to the Retiree Health Benefits Fund, the Federal Employees Retirement System, and the Civil Service Retirement System.

Total revenue for Market Dominant products decreased by 1.6% in FY 2019, due in large part to a reduction in Market Dominant mail volume, especially a decline in the high-contribution First Class Mail volume of 3.1% in FY 2019. Consumer Price Index rate increases were not enough to offset revenue lost from declining mail volumes. First-Class Mail and USPS Marketing Mail accounted for 95.9% of total Market Dominant volume.

The report further provides a historical analysis of volume losses for Market Dominant products between FY 2010 and FY 2019. Over this period, total Market Dominant products volume decreased by 38.8 billion pieces. First-Class Mail volume declined by 28.8 billion pieces, representing a 34.4% loss in volume. USPS Marketing Mail volume also declined considerably, by 6.8 billion pieces, or 8.2% loss in volume.

Total volume for Competitive products increased in FY 2019 by .2%. The increase was significantly lower when compared with the 11% growth rate reported in FY 2018. Total revenue for Competitive products increased by 5% in FY 2019. Overall, revenue for every domestic Competitive product except Priority Mail Express increased, mirroring the increases in volume.

The complete FY 2019 Financial Analysis report is located on the Commission’s website, www.prc.gov

Source: Postal Regulatory Commission