Margie Dana, Print Buyers International, agrees that "an increase in the cost of printing eventually leads to less printing," but isn't sure the relationship is a direct one.
Economist John Maine, vice president for RISI, and Ron Davis, Ph.D, chief economist for PIA, both believe there is little direct relationship between print cost and print volume. The forces that drive print buyers to move to electronic media include cost, of course, but the cost of paper is a small part of the equation. Personalization, traceability and instantaneous deliverability across the globe are larger factors that drive electronic communications. There is also some concern that large printers might move work to Canada or Mexico, but Maine advises, "I have gotten feedback from all of the major printers on this, and the response is universal—they will not move jobs to either Mexico or Canada because of the tariff on Asian paper."
Jack Miller is founder and Principal Consultant at Market-Intell LLC, offering Need to Know™ market intelligence in paper, print and packaging. Previously, he was senior consultant, North America, with Pira International.
Known as the Paper Guru, Jack is the former director of Market Intelligence with Domtar, where he also held positions as regional sales manager, territory sales manager and product manager. He has presented at On Demand, RISI’s Global Outlook, PRIMIR, SustainCom World and at various IntertechPira conferences. Jack has written for Printing Impressions, Canadian Printer, Paper 360, PaperTree Letter and Package Printing, along with publishing a monthly e-newsletter, MarketIntellibits.
He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from The College of the Holy Cross and has done graduate studies in Statistics and Finance.